Go read up on the red queen theory some point. It’s a stunning statistic that might force policy makers will ignore as they continue to reconsider their approach to fighting the coronavirus petty dictatorship. Because we pretty clearly need tens of millions of dead Americans to even get started to get rid of the fucking problem. Or are you fool enough to think that wasn’t the goal of the hyping of the chinavirus panᵈᵉᵐic in the first place? I can’t bear any more projections, statistics, models, scary numbers, or assertions about how this is a continuing problem. But is a little more useful in that “take the headline number and divide it by two to get my personal risk if I’m not confined to long term care” is something you can use in your daily life. For comparison, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) estimates that 2.1 million Americans live in nursing homes or long-term care facilities. Sometimes shit happens that is unpleasant. This is no time for a history lesson about the inevitable results of misguided government policies. But we have known for at least a month and a half that the deaths were radically skewed toward the above 65-70. This country is STILL unprepared for a real pandemic – and commenters here are still in utter denial about that. Lol. He is denying his past statements. New research reveals more than half of Aussies still show up to work despite being sick, with one in five having too much work to take a sick day. More than six weeks after the first coronavirus deaths in a nursing home, outbreaks unfold across the country. Unlike the cancellation of Josh Hawley’s book, such criminal charges pose a real threat to freedom of speech. He was just credulous enough to repeat it without even the most basic checks. Which means some will die. The part about possibly saving people by preventing hospitals from being overwhelmed (like they apparently were in Milan, Italy) was valid. If a plan becomes foiled due to understaffing or neglect of addressing flu-related complications, families could hold facilities accountable.”. What the fuck is wrong with people? We do not moderate or assume any responsibility for comments, which are owned by the readers who post them. The research from water purification company, Waterlogic, also reveals the “overwhelming” numbers of Australians adopting “hero mentality” and working through their sickness. I hope you have Fact Checked on your clipboard, because you will be posting that a lot here as the standard. Not when it involves the fallback option for old dopey gropey Joe. It is patsies like you that are the fucking problem, asshat. But after three of the residents tragically died, the home has been forced to take extreme measures. We now have a better idea about the overall fatality rate of the disease—about 0.3 percent, lower than was feared at earlier stages in the crisis. “Now, after more than 100,000 Americans have died from the disease that has swept across the country and wrecked wide swaths of the economy…”. | I just want it to be over. Meanwhile, the number of deaths for people below the age of 50, especially without underlying medical conditions, is statistically negligible. “Workplace heroes” are said to cost Aussie businesses $35 billion each year because they are more prone to injury, less productive, more likely to make errors and are potentially contagious. Baker said these groups add up to around 500 deaths per year in New Zealand, a figure higher than last year's road toll. When myself and others point out that socialism has a storied history of killing people and then lying and trying to hide the truth, this is the kind of thing we are talking about. 1.15.2021 4:00 AM, Eric Boehm | Phailing Phil Murphy in the People’s Republic of NJ did precisely the same thing. We locked down but we did have some degree of freedom to move around. When the experts who advise wearing one recently told us not to bother? | Why are they supporting the wearing of masks when the science is sketchy at best? Nor is there a basis for even an IFR argument on the deaths that have occurred WITHIN those facilities. Or tell us again about all the multi national corporations you think you run making you an economics expert. A lockdown bought time – and that time didn’t even buy much ramp on a learning curve. But the concentration of deaths in nursing homes should give younger, healthier Americans more confidence about returning to some semblance of normal life and should inform public policy decisions about how to slow the disease's spread. He and Suderman are the cucks watching in the corner. Keep in mind these are only the reported falls. Anyone refusing was placed in isolation. The fact that nearly half of all COVID-19 deaths have occurred in long-term care facilities means that the 99.4 percent of the country that doesn’t live in those places is roughly half as likely to die of the disease. Deaths among the elderly are not a tragedy. We reserve the right to delete any comment for any reason at any time. "The fact that nearly half of all COVID-19 deaths have occurred in long-term care facilities means that the 99.4 percent of the country that doesn't live in those places is roughly half as likely to die of the disease," writes Roy. We knew in April how this all laid out…and could have adjusted the response accordingly. That’s not ‘moving goalposts. CRUSHED them. It’s a stunning statistic that, despite being known, will never force policy makers to reconsider their approach to fighting the a somewhat more virulent strain of the common cold. Here in QC, I think c. 75% of cases are from nursing homes. news.com.au — Australia’s leading news site, Central Coast mum argues with police over mask request, Unexpected twist after mum and daughter take pregnancy test. It’s very possibly that Covid just revealed that the standard in most states is to knowingly expose elderly folks to things that are very likely to kill them. ", Robby Soave ZIIIIINNNNGG go the goalposts! Marco Polo Aged Care Services manager Robert O’Shea told the ABC families have been informed about the outbreak and have been urged not to visit. https://www.nny360.com/news/publicservicenews/new-york-coronavirus-deaths-dip-below-100-for-24-hour-period/article_a17eaceb-f2ce-594a-bbcb-4bd46cce5b23.html. It was apparent 2 months ago that the virus is much less deadly for most people than originally feared. None of it backed by science. During recent winters, there have been about 17,000 excess deaths a year, Public Health England says. Many COVID-19-positive nursing home residents returned home to their facilities before they recovered after a March 25 state Department of Health memo declared the state cannot discriminate against COVID-19 nursing home patients and prohibit their return, which potentially infected the most vulnerable New Yorkers — senior citizens and people with underlying conditions. Flu has contributed to more than half a dozen deaths in nursing homes in the past week in Tasmania as stocks of Tamiflu treatment run low, the public health director has said. I noticed that too. Human suffering and lost lives over winter 'predictable, preventable and shameful', fuel poverty campaigners say There is little positive overall in any of this data whatsoever. 100,000 is a lot, but it’s less than twice a bad flu season, which hardly anyone bats an eye at. That’s how life works. I don’t want to live in a world where mask-wearing is virtue-signaling and may even be required by law. However, what he probably intended, the government’s bumbling incompetent response to C19 is going to be a long term problem’ is quite true. The progs will do absolutely anything to avoid another trump term. Privacy Policy | We always did know the elderly were most at risk. More pediatric flu deaths. NEXT: House May Blow Its Chance To Protect Americans' Browser History From Federal Snooping. Eric Boehm Last month, NSW Health again urged parents to take advantage of the free influenza vaccine for under-fives after 115 children were admitted to Children’s Hospital Westmead with flu so far this year. And Reason is their bitch. 1.11.2021 3:45 PM, "This book will not be on our store shelves, and we will not promote it. Imagine if they counted flu deaths like covid…. The overall coronavirus hospitalization rate is 98.4 per … CBS news last night breathlessly reported that Montana has had a 450% increase in new cases since reopening. It sucks when your 85 year old grandma dies, but it could have been anything and anyone not in complete denial about mortality knows it. Sending only those over 60 home wouldn’t have had the impact on the economy, and Trump’s chance of getting re-elected, than sending everyone home would. We’re run by a pro-business right-wingish government and so they opened up quicker than other places despite us still being a little behind other places in terms of the cases coming down. So facilities could not internally isolate COVID patients even if they wanted to. Yeah. Broke: “Everyone should be preparing nooses for these governors.” Woke: “I sure as fuck wouldn’t vote for his re-election.”. The elderly continue to fall victim to this year's flu virus, with seven more fatalities in the past week of a person aged over 60 years, bringing the annual toll to 57 confirmed deaths. That’s just insane. Throw a couple stealth painted rocks at Earth, killing billions, declare your terrorist group the “Free Navy” and you become a hero briefly to the belters. By the time someone has to be put in a nursing home for long-term care, the odds are that they’re already in the type of physical condition that’s going to make them more vulnerable to a novel illness. Glad I live in a Red State that has been opening since May 1. Third step: let your internal attention whore free. For example, raw numbers indicate 100k / 300 M = 0.033% However, as you did the math, the actual number is closer to 0.017%. When my 92 year-old father passed away last year, people asked why he died. Yet, Premier Ford – ostensibly a conservative – is running around with a diaper on his head. Personally, I think the son of a bitch should be stripped of his sovereign immunity and held legally responsible. ‘Likely helped spread’? Trump is screwing them over. Some people will get sick and die. As usual. Thanks for the better math. It could be over this summer if people would just accept slightly more risk than usual and get on with life. Also, I think the fact that the government overreacted is far more likely to show incompetence than if it turned out to be as deadly as you and your compatriots claimed. Reported increasing numbers of outbreaks in those medical care facilities but didn’t do shit to reduce them. Theres still 5 months left to gaslight dummies into blaming the federal response for the state level policies. Average age over 80 and over 96% had multiple serious comorbidities. Jacob Sullum Assumes facts not in evidence. It’s not my fault that he’s in the video. According to the CDC, the hospitalization rate in the U.S. for flu this season is about 69 hospitalizations per 100,000 people. Be doesnt dive into arguments he tacitly agrees with. electrician in fairfax va, Eric Boehm Fucking pathetic. Number of deaths: 2,839,205; Life expectancy: 78.7 years; Infant Mortality rate: 5.66 deaths per 1,000 live births; Source: Mortality in the United States, 2018, data tables for figures 1, 2, and 4 Number of deaths for leading causes of death: Now, after more than 100,000 Americans have died from the disease that has swept across the country and wrecked wide swaths of the economy, it appears that nursing homes are still the most vulnerable places—by a wide margin. Fifteen residents of the Marco Polo Aged Care Services in Unanderra, just outside Wollongong, were suffering with flu symptoms after the June long weekend. As did everyone who actually sought out real data. Stuff your PANIC!!! What New York did was to mandate that all nursing homes in the state must admit patients known to be infected with the virus and further prohibited any testing of patients whose status was unknown so long as the hospital sending them had determined them safe to be transported. From October 2018 to May 2019 the FluSurv-NET data accounted for about 7,000 influenza-associated deaths, which CDC ultimately used to estimate … Please. Not on the employer side where it is obvious that lower-income employees are totally on their own in this. Ineffective flu vaccine added to 50,000 extra deaths last winter, ONS says. . Math is easy here: Old people: 99,000 deaths Really old people: 1,000 deaths Total: 100,000 deaths. Wonder what he considers long-term. That doesn't, of course, mean that anyone not living in a nursing home is safe from the virus, it does not soften the blow of the deaths that have already occurred, nor will it make deaths of friends and loved ones any easier. None of this should be big news. First step to becoming a reporter: fail math. En español | COVID-19 deaths in America's nursing homes continued to surge unabated through the weeks around Thanksgiving, to a rate of about 1 in 65 residents dying per month from the virus, a new AARP analysis of federal data shows. (Sorry only half way through book six). I can’t even mock that statement. “Just as Mr. Clyburn said, this is an opportunity, every crisis is,” Pelosi added. A study on influenza and nursing homes here: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5596516/. You really have gone off the deep end. The only thing that is clear – even in the (mostly) absence of good data yet – is that the multiple failures to protect what were the obviously vulnerable is damnable on both a personal and political level. But the media…. I will give Boehm this basic defense. !Yes,this is definitely the most financially rewarding Job I’ve had . Other states, like Florida, have locked down nursing homes and prioritized shipments of personal protective equipment (PPE) to those facilities, putting them on the same level as hospitals. Boehm is an economist, or at least pretend to be one, which explains his failing at math. Flu can be a serious disease that can lead to hospitalization and sometimes even death; anyone can get very sick from flu, including people who are otherwise healthy. US woman earns $1.5m on OnlyFans after plastic surgery makeo... YouTuber Belle Delphine sparks outrage over X-rated ‘kidnap’... Find out more about our policy and your choices, including how to opt-out. And just means the government will have to do better next time. I love how you think the problem is advocating for liberty. The problem is understanding life has risks. The tragic deaths bring the death toll to 57 in NSW, with the elderly being the most hit victims to this year’s horror flu virus. Now they are afraid the economy will come roaring back and give Trump a boost. Not the way many in NYC see it. Link to that or STFU you kiddie-diddling Trumpbot. He didn’t come up with that factoid. 42% (or 42,000) from nursing homes – therefore, 58% (58,000) dead from outside nursing homes – nursing home dead / nursing home total = 42k/2.1M = 2.0% – non-NH dead / non-NH total = 58k/348M = 0.017% – ratio of 2% : 0.17% = 120:1 In other words, the other 99.4% of the population are only 1/120th as likely to die from it – quite a bit smaller than even “only half as likely”. When will we admit that we are mortal, that we cannot accurately predict the future, that people will get sick, that there will always be new viruses, and that being born is a death sentence? Deaths, sometimes even wrongful deaths, of approximately 1,800 nursing home residents each year can be attributed to fall-related injuries. Leftists insist that they are not saying we need to stay locked down until an effective vaccine is fully deployed, yet that is exactly what is suggested by their words and actions. the number of deaths for people below the age of 50, especially without underlying medical conditions, is statistically negligible. Its lifted directly from the Forbes article. Not just outperformed. That means 349,900,000 people shouldn’t give one fuck about this virus. https://blog.levinperconti.com/nursing-home-flu-season/. 7 Each year, 5% to 20% of US residents get the flu. Each year it has a large impact on our community, with 10-20% of New Zealanders infected. Workers over the age of 40 are a “protected class”, so any kind of age based policy – even one intended for the health of those being singled out – would be grounds for a discrimination lawsuit against the employer. You will call yourself after doing this JOB,It’s a REAL job.Will be very lucky to refer to this WEBSITE. What he meant was that your actual risk is half as likely as the non-split numbers would indicate. I think that’s what the quote meant. | Find out more about our policy and your choices, including how to opt-out. In Canada, it’s a tad different. This is true whether we wear facemasks or not. It’s why I’m not changing my earlier projections at all. Notice the difference there, where one directive is made conditional on the belief that a facility has the capability to prevent further spread and only allows for admission if that condition is met and the other is made unconditional and prohibits measures that would normally be necessary to prevent further spread? That would require them to admit they were wrong. But it’s not just office workers who need to stay home, with experts warning parents to be on the lookout for symptoms in their kids. Everyone else – without any exceptions – should be preparing nooses for every single governor/etc. Researchers at the International Long Term Care Policy Network, a global organization that shares research and best practices, found that 40.8 percent of reported COVID-19 fatalities across 18 countries took place in nursing homes. If I’m collateral dead, so be it. Here's how to avoid getting sick. New York ‘public health experts’ are about as credible as their PRC communist party member counterparts. Those policies likely helped spread the disease to some of the most vulnerable populations. It’s a stunning statistic that, despite being known, hasn’t yet forced policy makers to reconsider their approach to fighting the chinanavirus. Alberta had an extended flu season this year which increased our numbers. Not one bit. That's probably why New York's official nursing home death rate is only 13.8 percent, the lowest count of any state that reports the location of infections and deaths. That massive of difference just does add up to only half as likely to die from the disease outside a retirement home. except that even the CDC doesn’t even give half that 100k to covid the 100k number includes people with covid who die from other causes, including car wrecks, instead of from covid and even that number has proven to be unreliable. It’s no different than him blindly pushing the tariffs restricted PPE imports while ignoring China nearly completely cut off exports of PPE while they stocked up. I don’t see how a gay, midget schizer video will improve the round-up. All three recent deaths were associated with influenza B viruses; only six deaths in total this season have been associated with influenza A. It was purposeful and deliberate. How about: ‘Those policies insured the spread among what were already known to be the most vulnerable populations’. Here’s another stat they failed to mention: 99.90% of Covid-19 deaths are from old people. The Jacket is working the camera. If the MSM were less committed to inspiring panic as a means to draw clicks (and maybe also drive some political agenda as well), the dots would have been connected weeks or months ago that the primary thing that’s really exceptional about this one is that there isn’t a long enough history of general exposure for most people to already have antibodies providing some protection (which is the case for most of the thousands of other strains of coronavirus in the world); additionally, it might hit the human body a bit more severely than most “common” strains. Then again he still claims he was right the whole time. Sorry, that’s just how it is. Marco Polo Aged Care Services in Unanderra is in lockdown following the deaths of three elderly residents from the flu. Democratic governors helped wreck wide swaths of the economy. https://twitter.com/JerylBier/status/1265703390077739010. Since the whole mechanism of “flattening” the curve amounts to trading a longer duration for a less intensive impact at any given time, the only reason to believe that those people wouldn’t have died at all would be if they had been unable to receive care due to overwhelmed hospitals. No matter how they parse, spin, detract, deflect, scream, bitch, moan, point fingers, cum, piss and shit in usual smug progressive fashion, the fact will always remain red states outperformed the supposedly ‘smarter’ blue states. No no no. There are over a dozen states that did the exact same thing — many of whom were concerned about hospital capacity. 0.3% fatality rate vs. 99.7% chance of survival)? As states emerge from total lockdowns and begin to restart their economies, policies must adapt to reflect the growing body of evidence about COVID-19 vulnerabilities. Even the notion that 3-4% of the total population has been exposed means fucking nothing if they are mostly the 12% of the workforce in the medical sector because even a halfwit would expect those employees to be exposed more and earlier to any contagion. Influenza C infections generally cause a mild respiratory illness and are not thought to cause epidemics. 6 Flu is primarily a community-based infection that is transmitted in households and community settings. Yeah, we should not expect “reporters” to understand what they are copy-pasting, right? About 70 percent and 85 percent of seasonal flu-related deaths have occurred in people 65 years and older. But YOU are definitely part of the problem. Lol. If 1% of the entire population was dying to this we would expect 1 in every 198 non-retirement home residents to be dying while seeing 1 in every 2 retirement home resident dying. 1.14.2021 3:50 PM, Lenore Skenazy Eric Boehm Twenty staff members from the aged care home have also been away from work suffering with flu symptoms, Nine News reported. Now reporting outbreaks in in places like grocery stores (12 with 105 confirmed cases and 5 deaths) but didn’t even expand testing there until the last couple weeks. These data have implications for policy making as states look to safely reopen their economies. Annual flu report for winter 2015 to 2016 added. 1.14.2021 8:15 PM, Eric Boehm flag up your ass, stick first and sit on it, you cowardly piece of lefty shit. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention reports that between 12,000 and 79,000 people die of the flu each year. This number is roughly twice the ratio you calculated for non-NH, 0.017%. | 21 May 2015. Victoria recorded the largest increase (5,713 deaths), which included 2,812 deaths from between 2017 to 2019 that had not previously been supplied to the ABS. On the topic of models and predictions, there’s starting to be some attention paid to estimates of the damage done by the lockdowns and medical care restrictions that have been imposed. A typical, 100-bed nursing home reports at least 100 to 200 falls per year. What they didn’t mention is that we went two weeks without a new case and have had like six new cases over the past week and a half. It is times like this that I really wish this disease was far more deadly. Ironic now that Cuomo gave liability protections to nursing care execs…. Across the 39 states that report the location of COVID-19 deaths, 42 percent have occurred in nursing and residential care facilities, a tally that includes facilities for the care of people with disabilities as well as hospice programs. I Make Money At H0me.Let’s start work offered by Google! Picture: Google MapsSource:Supplied. Editor's Note: We invite comments and request that they be civil and on-topic. A nursing home in southern New South Wales is in lockdown after being struck with the “killer” flu outbreak that’s sweeping the country. That may help explain why Florida has had fewer overall deaths than other large states—despite 40 percent of those deaths occurring in nursing homes—and it's something other states should copy. Any moron knows you don’t put contagious people with elderly. It’s why these MMQB “models” saying that 36,000 people might have been saved if we just locked down a few weeks earlier are bullshit posturing. Governors in some states—including Michigan, New York, and Pennsylvania—prevented nursing homes from turning away patients with active COVID-19 infections. The original order (with @NYGovCuomo’s name right on it!) But outside of New York, more than half of all COVID-19 fatalities nationally were residents of nursing homes and other long-term care facilities. Cuomo’s Deadly Nursing Home Policy Likely Cost 10,000 Lives So Far https://pjmedia.com/news-and-politics/matt-margolis/2020/05/27/cuomos-deadly-nursing-home-policy-like-cost-10000-lives-so-far-n433483. And all those medical ships left without admitting a handful of patients. You are the one seemingly eager to exploit fear and death in order to implement a desired set of controls, not me, Chicken little. The problem that’s come from it is that so many people seem to think that the purpose of flattening was to reduce the total number of people who ever got infected, or that at some level it could have prevented anyone at all from dying due to the disease; also the perception that seems to have some prevalence is that there’s some duration of staying locked down after which there won’t be a new outbreak when things open back up without any need for mass vaccination (as if we could just wait until the virus ceases to exist). Can you tell us again how exposure curves for new viruses (ignoring that viruses constantly mutate) are our exponential and not parabolic due to a shifting R0 and that infections wont stop until 100% of people are infected. The arguments some of their fellow-travelers use, like “why should we sacrifice the elderly?” suggest that they are of the belief that saving one more life justifies all of the draconian measures – although these measures cause far more death because of economic pain due to shutting down the economy.